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Intel stock sinks as early 2024 outlook comes up short

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Pat Gelsinger, CEO Intel, speaking on CNBC’s Squawk Box at the WEF Annual Meeting in Davos, Switzerland on Jan. 16th, 2024.
Adam Galici | CNBC

Intelissued an outlook for the first quarter of 2024 that lagged analyst forecasts even as results for the latest quarter beat Wall Street estimates.

Here’s how Intel did versus LSEG (formerly Refinitiv) consensus expectations for the quarter ended in December:

Earnings per share: 54 cents adjusted, vs. 45 cents expectedRevenue: $15.4 billion vs. $15.15 billion expected

For the first quarter of fiscal 2024, Intel expects earnings per share of 13 cents on between $12.2 billion and $13.2 billion in sales, versus LSEG expectations of 33 cents per share on $14.15 billion of revenue.

Intel posted net income of $2.7 billion, or 63 cents per share, compared to a net loss of $0.7 billion, or 16 cents per share, last year.

With Intel reporting sales growth in the fourth quarter of 10% from $14.04 billion a year earlier, the company breaks a streak of seven quarters with declining revenue. Intel’s gross margin was 40%, down 2.6 percentage points annually.

Intel shares are up over 74% over the past year. The company is the largest semiconductor maker by revenue, according to Gartner, a market research firm, even though its market cap puts it below NvidiaAMD

Cloud providers and large tech companies, the big spenders, have been focused on the AI boom, which explains Nvidia’s recent outperformance. In the past, the most important part in a server was the central processor made by Intel. Now, AI servers can have as many as eight Nvidia or AMD graphics processing units (GPUs) attached to one or two Intel CPUs.

Intel also continues to focus on a five-year plan implemented by CEO Pat Gelsinger, who took over the chipmaker in 2021. Intel wants to catch up to Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company

“The quarter capped a year of tremendous progress on Intel’s transformation,” Gelsinger said in a statement.

Intel has been cutting costs through workforce reductions and offloading small parts of its business. In the past year, the company said it would spin off its programmable chip unit, after turning self-driving car subsidiary Mobileyeindependent company in 2022. Intel CFO David Zinsner said in a statement that Intel had cut $3 billion in costs last year.

Intel’s largest division is its Client Computing group, which includes laptop and PC processor chips. The overall PC industry has been in a slump for two years, but recently started showing signs of growth again. Intel reported $8.8 billion in fourth-quarter sales, up 33%.

Intel’s second largest division, Data Center and AI, saw sales decline 10% to $4 billion. That unit includes server CPUs and GPUs. Intel’s Network and Edge department, which sells parts for carriers and networking, reported $1.5 billion in sales, down 24% from last year.

Intel foundry services, its business making chips for other companies, remains nascent, with $291 million in revenue, a 63% annual increase.

Intel said it paid $3.1 billion in dividends in 2023.

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